Goodgirlkl12k
21.04.2020 •
Mathematics
At Central High School, 85% of all senior girls attended and 65% of all senior boys attended the Spring Dance. Of all attendees, 20% won a prize. A. Assuming that the number of senior girls at Central High School is about equal to the number of senior boys, estimate the probability that a randomly selected senior won a prize at the dance. Explain. Enter your answer. B. Construct Arguments If you knew whether the selected student was a boy or a girl, would your estimate change
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Ответ:
a) 0.30 (30%)
b) Boy: 0.13 (13%) , Girl : 0.17 (17%)
Step-by-step explanation:
Given:-
- The probability of senior girls attend spring dance, P(GA) = 0.85
- The probability of senior boys attend spring dance, P(BA) = 0.65
- The probability that an attendee wins a prize, P(W) = 0.20
Find:-
Estimate the probability that a randomly selected senior won a prize at the dance.
Construct Arguments If you knew whether the selected student was a boy or a girl, would your estimate change
Solution:-
- First realize that the probability for any senior student to attends the spring dance and winning a prize are independent events.
- So for independent events, the probability that a "girl or a boy" attends the spring dance and wins a prize can be determined:
P ( GA & W ) = P(GA)*P(W) = 0.85*0.20 = 0.17 (17%)
P ( BA & W ) = P(BA)*P(W) = 0.65*0.20 = 0.13 (13%)
P ( (BA & W) U (GA & W) ) = P ( BA & W ) + P ( GA & W )
= 0.17 + 0.13
Answer = 0.3 (30%)
- So the estimate probability that a randomly selected senior won a prize at the dance is 0.3 or 30% of all attendee.
- If the randomly selected senior was a girl would be the proportion of people who won the prize.
P ( GA & W ) = 0.17 (17%)
- Similarly, If the randomly selected senior was a boy would be the proportion of people who won the prize.
P ( BA & W ) = 0.13 (13%)
Ответ:
a) 30%
b) the estimate wouldnt change as far as the probabilities is been maintained. thre can only be a shift in the gender probability depending on whether there are more number of boys or girls.
Step-by-step explanation:
a) Prob( all senior girl attended) = 85%
Prob ( all senior boy attended) = 65%
Prob( won a price) = 20%
Prob( a senior girl attends and win a price) = 85% x 20%
= 17%
Prob ( a senior boy attends and win a price) = 65% x 20%
= 13%
Prob( a senior won a price) = 17% + 13%
= 30%
b) The estimate wouldnt change as far as the probabilities is been maintained. thre can only be a shift in the gender probability depending on whether there are more number of boys or girls.
Ответ: