jlayne0605
26.03.2021 •
Mathematics
Suppose lightning strikes at an average of 1.4 strikes per minute during a particular storm. You play the following game: if the next strike occurs within the next minute, you win 3 dollars, if the next strike occurs between 1 minute and 2 minutes from now, you win 5 dollars, and if the next strike occurs more than 2 minutes from now, you win 1 dollar. How much should someone be charged to play this game, to make it a "fair game?"
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Ответ:
$3.25
Step-by-step explanation:
Given that:
Mean, λ = 1.4
Strike within next minute = $3 won
Strike between one and 2 minutes = $5
Strike more than 2 minutes = $1
Probability that next strike occurs within the next minute :
Using poisson :
P(x < 1) = 1 - e^-(λx) ;
P(x < 1) = 1 - e^-(1.4*1) = 1 - e^-1.4
P(x < 1) = 1 - 0.2465969
P(x < 1) = 0.7534030
Next strike occurs between 1 and 2 minutes :
(1 < x < 2) :
P(x < 2) - P(x < 1)
P(x < 2) = 1 - e^-(λx) ;
P(x < 2) = 1 - e^-(1.4*2) = 1 - e^-2.8
P(x < 2) = 1 - 0.0608100
P(x < 2) = 0.9391899
P(x < 2) - P(x < 1)
0.9391899 - 0.7534030 = 0.1857869
P(striking after 2 minutes)
P(x > 2) = e^-(λx) ;
P(x > 2) = e^-(1.4*2) = e^-2.8
P(x > 2) = 0.0608100
Amount charged :
(0.7534030 * 3) + (0.1857869 * 5) + (0.06081 * 1)
= 3.2499
= $3.25
Ответ:
ITS NOT A,D,OR C SO I THINK ITS B.SORRY IF IM WRONG
Step-by-step explanation:
MARK ME AS BRAINLIEST