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jarteria0
10.10.2019 •
Mathematics
Anew test has been devised for detecting a particular type of cancer. if the test is applied to a person who has this type of cancer, the probability that the person will have a positive reaction is 0.95 and the probability that the person will have a negative reaction is 0.05. if the test is applied to a person who does not have this type of cancer, the probability that the person will have a positive reaction is 0.05 and the probability that the person will have a negative reaction is 0.95. suppose that in the general population, one person out of every 100,000 people has this type of cancer. if a person selected at random has a positive reaction to the test, what is the probability that he has this type of cancer?
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Ответ:
0.000189
Step-by-step explanation:
Given:
Probability of positive reaction given that he has cancer, P(p/c) = 0.95
Probability of negative reaction given that he has cancer, P(n/c) = 0.05
Probability of positive reaction given that not having cancer, P(p/c') = 0.05
Probability of negative reaction given that not having cancer, P(n/c') = 0.95
Probability that the person has particular type of cancer,
P(C) =![\frac{\textup{1}}{\textup{100,000}}=0.00001](/tpl/images/0305/9342/d9773.png)
Probability that the person does not has particular type of cancer,
P(C') = 1 - 0.00001 = 0.99999
Now,
Using the Baye's Theorem
Probability that the person selected at random has a positive reaction to the test, that he has this type of cancer
=![\frac{P(p/c)\times P(C)}{P(p/c)\times P(C)+P(p/c')\times P(C')}](/tpl/images/0305/9342/7acab.png)
=![\frac{0.95\times0.00001}{0.95\times0.00001+0.05\times0.99999}](/tpl/images/0305/9342/bc0c8.png)
= 0.000189
Ответ:
9
Step-by-step explanation:
Factors of 27- 1, 3, 9, and 27
Factors of 63-1, 3, 7, 9, 21, 63
The Common factors are 3 and 9
The GCF is 9