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14.04.2020 •
Mathematics
During the dry month of August, one U.S. city has measurable rain on average only 4 days per month. Assume all months have 30 days. *(Round your answers to 1 decimal place.) **(Round the intermediate values to 4 decimal places. Round your answer to 4 decimal places.) (a) If the arrival of rainy days is Poisson distributed in this city during the month of August, what is the average number of days that will pass between measurable rain? *
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Ответ:
The average number of days that will pass between measurable rain is 7.5.
Step-by-step explanation:
In a Poisson distribution, the probability that X represents the number of successes of a random variable is given by the following formula:
In which
x is the number of sucesses
e = 2.71828 is the Euler number
is the mean in the given time interval.
The expected period between the event happening is
During the dry month of August, one U.S. city has measurable rain on average only 4 days per month. Assume all months have 30 days.
This means that
(a) If the arrival of rainy days is Poisson distributed in this city during the month of August, what is the average number of days that will pass between measurable rain? *
The average number of days that will pass between measurable rain is 7.5.
Ответ:
0.9856
Step-by-step explanation:
Let A₁, A₂, A₃, and A₄ denote the four components and P(A₁), P(A₂), P(A₃) and P(A₄) denote the probability that the components work and P(A₁) = P(A₂) = P(A₃) = P(A₄) = 0.8. For the system to work, either A₁ or A₂ works and A₃ and A₄ works. This is denoted by (A₁ U A₂) U (A₃ ∩ A₄). The probability that the system works is calculated as ]follows. Let S₁ = (A₁ U A₂) represent system 1 and S₂ = (A₃ ∩ A₄) represent system 2. P[(A₁ U A₂) U (A₃ ∩ A₄)] = P(S₁ U S₂), the probability that the system works.
The probability of any two events is P(A U B)= P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B). Since the events are independent, P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B).
P(A₁ U A₂) = P(A₁) + P(A₂) - P(A₁ ∩ A₂) = 0.8 + 0.8 -0.8² = 1.6 - 0.64 = 0.96. P(A₃ ∩ A₄) = P(A₃)P(A₄) = 0.8 × 0.8 = 0.64.
P(S₁ U S₂)= P(S₁) + P(S₂) - P(S₁ ∩ S₂) = 0.96 + 0.64 - 0.96 × 0.64 = 1.6 + 0.6144 = 0.9856