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rae766
02.12.2020 •
Mathematics
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Ответ:
Using the normal approximation to the binomial distribution
a) The probability that fewer than 2 of the 20 swordfish pieces have mercury levels exceeding the FDA limit = P(x < 2) = 0.0015
b) The probability that more than half of the 20 swordfish pieces have mercury levels exceeding the FDA limit = P(x > 10) = 0.1271
Using Binomial distribution formula for these same probabilities.
c) The probability that fewer than 2 of the 20 swordfish pieces have mercury levels exceeding the FDA limit = P(x < 2) = 0.0005
The probability that more than half of the 20 swordfish pieces have mercury levels exceeding the FDA limit = P(x > 10) = 0.1275
With the continuity correction factor added, the normal approximation to the binomial distribution problem is a good estimate of the binomial distribution, especially for variables close to the mean.
Step-by-step explanation:
To use the normal approximation to the binomial distribution problem, we need to compute the mean and the standard deviation.
With n = sample size = 20
p = proportion of the swordfish pieces available for sale have a level of mercury above the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) limit = 40% = 0.40
Mean = μ = np = 20 × 0.40 = 8
Standard deviation = σ = √[np(1-p)] = √(20×0.40×0.60) = 2.191
If X represents the number of swordfish pieces that have mercury levels exceeding the FDA limit
a) Probability that fewer than 2 of the 20 swordfish pieces have mercury levels exceeding the FDA limit.
Introducing the continuity correction factor,
P(X < 2) becomes P(x < 2-0.5) = P(x < 1.5)
We first normalize or standardize 1.5.
The standardized score for any value is the value minus the mean then divided by the standard deviation.
z = (x - μ)/σ = (1.5 - 8)/2.191 = - 2.97
To determine the required probability
P(x < 1.5) = P(z < -2 97)
We'll use data from the normal distribution table for these probabilities
P(X < 2) = P(x < 1.5) = P(z < -2 97) = 0.00149 = 0.0015
b) Probability that more than half of the 20 swordfish pieces have mercury levels exceeding the FDA limit
Adjusting with the continuity correction factor P(X > 10) = P(x > 10+0.5) = P(x > 10.5)
We first normalize or standardize 10.5
z = (x - μ)/σ = (10.5 - 8)/2.191 = 1.14
To determine the required probability
P(x > 10.5) = P(z > 1.14)
We'll use data from the normal distribution table for these probabilities
P(X > 10) = P(X > 10.5) = P(z > 1.14)
= 1 - P(z ≤ 1.14)
= 1 - 0.87286 = 0.12714 = 0.1271
c) Binomial distribution function is represented by
P(X = x) = ⁿCₓ pˣ qⁿ⁻ˣ
n = total number of sample spaces = number of swordfishes to be examined = 20
x = Number of successes required = fewer than 2 and more than half, < 2 and > 10
p = probability of success = probability of a swordfish having mercury levels above the FDA limits = 0.40
q = probability of failure = probability of a swordfish NOT having mercury levels above the FDA limits = 1 - p = 1 - 0.40 = 0.60
P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = 0.00052404938 = 0.0005
P(X > 10) = P(X = 11) + P(X = 12) + P(X = 13) + P(X = 14) + P(X = 15) + P(X = 16) + P(X = 17) + P(X = 18) + P(X = 19) + P(X = 20) = 0.12752124615 = 0.1275
With the continuity correction factor added, the normal approximation to the binomial distribution problem is a good estimate of the binomial distribution, especially for variables close to the mean.
Hope this Helps!!!