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UndeadDelta
04.03.2021 •
Mathematics
Supersonics Records plans to market a new record for a comeback artist nationwide. Management believes that there is a 70% chance that the new record will be a hit and, therefore, a 30% chance that the new record will be a miss. However, before resources are committed to market this new record nationwide, management will ask Mr. Deejay, a well-known authority in the music scene, to predict whether the new record will be a hit or a miss. Mr. Deejay's past predictions were quite impressive-che correctly predicted a hit record 80% of the time and incorrectly predicted a hit record only 10% of the time. Let H = The new record is actually a hit M = The new record is actually a miss DH = Mr. Deejay predicts the new record will be a hit Therefore, P(H) = 0.70 P(M) = 0.30 P(DH/H) = 0.80 P(DH/M) = 0.10 Based on these information, what is P(H and DH)? (That is, what is the probability that the new record is actually a hit (H) AND Mr. Deejay predicts the new record will be a hit (DH)?)
A. 0.56
B. 0.59
C. 0.95
D. Not enough information given to answer this question
E. None of the above
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Ответ:
A. 0.56
Step-by-step explanation:
Conditional Probability
We use the conditional probability formula to solve this question. It is
In which
P(B|A) is the probability of event B happening, given that A happened.
P(A) is the probability of A happening.
In this question:
We want to find
.
We can relate the numbers using
. So
P(H) = 0.70 , P(DH/H) = 0.80
So
The correct answer is given by option A.
Ответ:
The average cost of each tie is $56.350
Step-by-step explanation:
We are given that a men tie buyer plans to promote a $39.99 tie. Consequently, the buyer purchases 450 ties
So, Cost of 450 ties =![450 \times 39.99=17995.5](/tpl/images/0151/6625/b8af0.png)
An order for 100 ties that cost $20.00 each
Cost of 100 ties =![100 \times 20 = 2000](/tpl/images/0151/6625/9c367.png)
Total cost price = 17995.5+2000 = 19995.5
Let the selling price of 1 tie be x
Total ties = 450+100 = 550
So, SP of 550 ties =550x
Now we are given that markup is 55%
So, Profit % = 55%
So,![CP = \frac{SP \times 100}{100+P\%}](/tpl/images/0151/6625/9ac3f.png)
Substitute the values
Hence The average cost of each tie is $56.350