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madlenserlipepu1o
18.08.2020 •
Mathematics
The time intervals between successive barges passing a certain point on a busy waterway have an exponential distribution with mean 8 minutes.
(a) Find the probability that the time interval between two successive barges is less than 5 minutes.
(b) Find a time interval t such that we can be 95% sure that the time interval between two successive barges will be greater than t.
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Ответ:
a) 0.4647
b) 24.6 secs
Step-by-step explanation:
Let T be interval between two successive barges
t(t) = λe^λt where t > 0
The mean of the exponential
E(T) = 1/λ
E(T) = 8
1/λ = 8
λ = 1/8
∴ t(t) = 1/8×e^-t/8 [ t > 0]
Now the probability we need
p[T<5] = ₀∫⁵ t(t) dt
=₀∫⁵ 1/8×e^-t/8 dt
= 1/8 ₀∫⁵ e^-t/8 dt
= 1/8 [ (e^-t/8) / -1/8 ]₀⁵
= - [ e^-t/8]₀⁵
= - [ e^-5/8 - 1 ]
= 1 - e^-5/8 = 0.4647
Therefore the probability that the time interval between two successive barges is less than 5 minutes is 0.4647
b)
Now we find t such that;
p[T>t] = 0.95
so
t_∫¹⁰ t(x) dx = 0.95
t_∫¹⁰ 1/8×e^-x/8 = 0.95
1/8 t_∫¹⁰ e^-x/8 dx = 0.95
1/8 [( e^-x/8 ) / - 1/8 ]¹⁰_t = 0.95
- [ e^-x/8]¹⁰_t = 0.96
- [ 0 - e^-t/8 ] = 0.95
e^-t/8 = 0.95
take log of both sides
log (e^-t/8) = log (0.95)
-t/8 = In(0.95)
-t/8 = -0.0513
t = 8 × 0.0513
t = 0.4104 (min)
so we convert to seconds
t = 0.4104 × 60
t = 24.6 secs
Therefore the time interval t such that we can be 95% sure that the time interval between two successive barges will be greater than t is 24.6 secs
Ответ:
there are no values of x that make the equation true.