Mathematics: According to geologists, the San Francisco Bay Area experiences five earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater every 100 years. What is the probability that no earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater strike the San Francisco Bay Area in the next 40 years?

Of what? You didn’t show what area we have to find...

According to geologists, the San Francisco Bay

paigemeyers6

22.01.2022

13.53% probability that no earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater strike the San Francisco Bay Area in the next 40 years

Step-by-step explanation:

In a Poisson distribution, the probability that X represents the number of successes of a random variable is given by the following formula:

$P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}$

In which

x is the number of sucesses

e = 2.71828 is the Euler number

$\mu$ is the mean in the given time interval.

According to geologists, the San Francisco Bay Area experiences five earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater every 100 years.

One earthquake each 100/5 = 20 years.

What is the probability that no earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater strike the San Francisco Bay Area in the next 40 years?

40 years, so $\mu = 40/20 = 2$

This probability is P(X = 0).

$P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}$

$P(X = 0) = \frac{e^{-2}*2^{0}}{(0)!} = 0.1353$

13.53% probability that no earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater strike the San Francisco Bay Area in the next 40 years

0,0(0 оценок)