adreyan3479
adreyan3479
02.03.2020 • 
Mathematics

There are two subsystems connected in parallel, each one containing two cells. In order for the system to function, at least one of the two parallel subsystems must work. Within each subsystem, the two cells are connected in series, so a subsystem will work only if all cells in the subsystem work. Consider a particular lifetime value t0, and suppose we want to determine the probability that the system lifetime exceeds t0. Let Ai denote the event that the lifetime of cell i exceeds t0 (i = 1, 2, , 4). We assume that the Ai's are independent events (whether any particular cell lasts more than t0 hours has no bearing on whether or not any other cell does) and that P(Ai) = 0.8 for every i since the cells are identical. Using P(Ai) = 0.8, the probability that system lifetime exceeds t0 is easily seen to be 0.8704. To what value would 0.8 have to be changed in order to increase the system lifetime reliability from 0.8704 to 0.91? [Hint: Let P(Ai) = p, express system reliability in terms of p, and then let x = p2.] (Round your answer to four decimal places.)

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