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ajm1132005
03.08.2019 •
Mathematics
Use bayes' rule to find the indicated probability. the incidence of a certain disease on the island of tukow is 4%. a new test has been developed to diagnose the disease. using this test, 91% of those who have the disease test positive while 4% of those who do not have the disease test positive (false positive). if a person tests positive, what is the probability that he or she actually has the disease?
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Ответ:
D - has disease
H - healthy (does not have disease)
P - tests positive
It is the probability that a person has the disease AND tests positive divided by the probability that the person tests positive.
Sick, + [.04*.91] = .0364
Sick, - [.04*.09] = .0036
Healthy, + [.96*.04] = 0.0384
Healthy, - [.96*.96] = .9216
.0364 / (.0364 + .0.0384) = 0.487
Ответ:
SayL
Step-by-step explanation: